Interview with Col. Douglas Macgregor
Reflections on Macgregor’s Warnings
Raw Intelligence
(December 9, 2022) — According to Colonel Douglas Macgregor, Vladimr Putin has revoked the Russian policy of no-first-use of nuclear weapons, which is a response both to Biden’s signing off (in June 2022) on the US using nuclear weapons against conventional forces, as well as US build-up of nuclear-capable aircraft in Europe, as well as the US Carrier Battle Group in the Adriatic/Mediterranean that also has nuclear weapons.
Macgregor states that the new Russian policy is that Russia will strike first with nuclear weapons if Russia believes the US is preparing to attack Russia with nuclear weapons.
This is truly a hair-trigger on nuclear war. Any false alert of nuclear attack, believed to be true, will result in nuclear war between the US and Russia.
Also, Russian air bases that house long-range Russian nuclear bombers and nuclear weapons were hit with long-range drones a few days ago.
The head of the Russian delegation in Vienna on military security issues, said that NATO members had a hand in Kyiv’s provocations against Russian airfields, the facts indicate this. According to him, the drones used to attempt to strike at airfields were modernized with the participation of a corporation from the United States, and GPS was used for guidance. https://t.me/Slavyangrad/24189
Macgregor says that the CIA and NSA were definitely involved in this drone attack. He says that the drones could have been launched within Russia and had final guidance to the target by teams on the ground in Russia. Macgregor suggests that the drones were launched within Russia and followed routes used by commercial airliners, which is why the Russian air defense systems did not see them.
Attacking Russian nuclear facilities deep in Russia — this is truly insane on the part of the US and NATO. If Russia sees a cruise missile headed for Moscow . . . all bets are off on what the response would be.
The following thread of comments below from Moon of Alabama follows these thoughts.
Paveway IV — December 9 2022:
Asiatimes.com (and others with similar) published this nothingburger: Military sources: Ukraine missiles used US guidance, “Both NATO and Russian observers reject Blinken denial of US satellite involvement in attacks on Russian bases”. But then go on to explain, how “…Multiple military sources in NATO countries as well as Russia contradict him, reporting that the reconditioned Russian Tu-141 drones that Ukraine launched at Russian air bases downlinked US satellite GPS data to hit their targets….”
So, ignoring gee-whiz terms like ‘downlink’, the assertion is that the Tu-141 used GPS. How do they know this? Why not GLONASS? Why not the same crappy radio/inertial navigation they were designed to use when manufactured a half century ago (before either GPS or GLONASS)? It’s obvious they used ‘something’, but unless you have smoking pieces of the navigation box, then it could just as well have been highly-trained Ukrainian suicide elves flying them with little joy sticks and rudder pedals.
I *think* the US is 100% behind it, but nobody cares what I think. The Russians are less inclined to be so forgiving of a threat to their strategic nuclear forces. Whatever ignorance or legal loophole the US hopes to exploit to evade responsibility is meaningless.
If Russia sees a cruise missile fired by the US (or our proxies) at Moscow, they will *assume* it is nuclear-tipped. The US madmen seem to think that Russia will just have to assume it’s conventional coming from Ukraine because they have no ‘proof’ in advance that it’s nuclear.
While I trust Russia’s patience and resolve, I also trust them NOT to be stupid enough to endure endless cruise missile attacks and simply wait for a mushroom cloud over a Russian air base or city for ‘proof’ that one was nuclear. I would view *any* medium-range cruise missile (Tu-141 or whatever) as an existential threat to Russia if they were aimed at ANY strategic nuclear forces.
Likewise, the US would freak out if China suddenly launched a cruise missile at our B-52s at Barksdale, LA or missile silos in North Dakota. We would glass Beijing before worrying about if they had actually used a conventional or nuclear warhead in the attack.
The US is playing a dangerous game of chicken by threatening Russia’s strategic nuclear forces by proxy and hoping Russia will not 1) see this as an existential threat, 2) think it’s really not the US or 3) hesitate to retaliate if the attack was conventional but destroyed some of their nuclear capability.
Even putting all other considerations aside, the third drone strike occurring some time after the other two would never have taken place if the US had raised any objections, they were so fast to react to the Polish tractor strike I can’t see why they would not have done the same with the deep-inside-Russia drone strikes.
Neither would Germany’s new declaration of approval for deep-Russia strikes been made.
Saul Goode — December 9 2022:
Those were not Ukie missiles or UAV’s hitting Engels and the other AFB. There is something holding back Russia to go all in, in the SMO and having 500k Russian soldiers invading Ukraine, would turn them into sitting ducks to American and NATO strategic weapons. The attacks on the AFB’s were a direct NATO attack on Russian soil, meaning that NATO has already gone full retard.
Once Russia responds, it is game-over for the world as we know it and that’s why Russia is holding back. The sinking of Moskva, the attack on the Kerch bridge, attacks on Russian soil etc., should have rendered an iron fist response. However, there is something holding Russia back and this something seems to be what Russia fears most.
Metallist — December 9 2022:
Reply from Will Schryver
https://twitter.com/imetatronink/status/1601024782417305601
Gavrilov: The facts say that NATO had a hand in Kyiv’s attacks on Russian airfields
Gavrilov, the head of the delegation in Vienna on military security issues, said that NATO members had a hand in Kyiv’s provocations against Russian airfields, the facts indicate this. According to him, the drone was used to attempt to strike at airfields was modernized with the participation of a corporation from the United States, and GPS was used for guidance.
So Gavrilov asserts US corp somehow involved in modernizing Tu-141 and that it used GPS. Can’t find any other detail yet besides similar statement to RAI Novosti
PavewayIV | December 8, 2022:
Gavrilov: the facts say that NATO had a hand in Kyiv’s attacks on Russian airfields. Gavrilov, the head of the delegation in Vienna on military security issues, said that NATO members had a hand in Kyiv’s provocations against Russian airfields, the facts indicate this. According to him, the drone used to attempt to strike at airfields was modernized with the participation of a corporation from the United States, and GPS was used for guidance.
SeanAU — December 9 2022:
I noted with especial significance, Col. MacGregor’s statements about Russia changing (or clarifying) it’s ‘No-first-use’ posture. Russia WILL use nukes first if it thinks US/NATO is preparing a nuclear strike on Russia. Again, US naivety assumes that Russia will technically have to wait for a mushroom cloud over Moscow before the global rules-based-order allows Russia to ‘legally’ retaliate.
Russia simply emphasizing they are not that stupid. If the US or NATO starts fussing with their nukes on European bases, then they will get glassed first.
What if the US or NATO wasn’t really planning a nuclear first strike? Russia: Too bad. Glass first, ask questions and offer apologies later.
