Russia Prepares to Strike NATO Bases on Friday or Saturday
Direct Military Conflict Between US, NATO and Russia Looms
Steven Starr / NuclearStarr
(November 28, 2024) — The US and UK have continued with their missile attacks (via Ukraine) on Russia despite explicit Russian warnings that any further attacks would result in retaliation against NATO military facilities.
One week ago, Putin stated:
”We consider ourselves entitled to use our weapons against military facilities of those countries that allow to use their weapons against our facilities, and in case of an escalation of aggressive actions, we will respond decisively and in mirror-like manner. I recommend that the ruling elites of the countries that are hatching plans to use their military contingents against Russia seriously consider this.”
Following the latest US and UK missile attacks on Nov 23 and 25, the Russian Defense Ministry stated: “Retaliatory actions are being prepared.”
Russia has closed the airspace over the facility where the new hypersonic Oreshnik missile was launched against the Yuzhmash aerospace complex in Ukraine, probably because Russia is preparing one or more Oreshnik missiles for the announced upcoming retaliatory strike. The space will remain closed through November 30; the retaliatory attack will take place during the period the airspace is closed. Putin, who is now in Kazakhstan, will return to Moscow on Friday, making it likely that the attack will take place on Friday or Saturday.
Because the Oreshnik is a nuclear-capable missile, Russia will conduct launch preparations in a way that allows US satellite reconnaissance to verify that the Oreshnik(s) are being prepared in a manner that indicates they will not be carrying nuclear warheads. Russia reportedly gave the US 45 minutes warning before the first Oreshnik strike hit and destroyed the Yuzhmash complex; it is likely to do the same before this next attack occurs.
This is the beginning of a direct military conflict — which cannot be disguised as a proxy war — between the US, NATO, and Russia.
What will the US and NATO do in response to a Russian attack on a NATO military base (or bases)?
Russian General Staff Prepares Missile Retaliation
Targeting West for Friday Night or Saturday Morning
John Helmer / Dances with Bears
(November 27, 2024) — On Tuesday afternoon, November 26, the Russian Defense Ministry issued an unusual bulletin [3] revealing that since the Oreshnik strike on November 21, the US had launched two ATACMS attacks across the Ukrainian border on Russian military targets in the Kursk region. The first of these on an S-400 air defence unit on November 23 had not been disclosed before. Both the November 23 and November 25 ATACMS strikes, totaling 13 missiles in all, had been partially intercepted. Russian casualties were suffered, including several fatalities.
The Defense Ministry also telegraphed its punch. “Retaliatory actions are being prepared,” the bulletin concluded.
Earlier that same morning, November 26, the airspace around the Oreshnik launch site at Kapustin Yar — east of Volgograd in the north of Astrakhan region — was identified for closure to civilian flights by an international notice to airmen (NOTAM). The notice said the no-flight zone would start at 04:00 on Thursday, November 27, and continue until 20:00 on Saturday, November 30 [4]. Kapustin Yar was the launch pad for the first Oreshnik strike on the Yuzhmash plant at Dniepropetrovsk on November 21 [5].
The flight distance for that Russian missile from launch to target was 800 kilometers. If a second Oreshnik strike is being prepared at Kapustin Yar, the range to US and Ukrainian military bunkers at Kiev is within 1,100 kms; to the comparable military targets in Lvov, 1,600 kms; to the US-Ukrainian base at Rzeszów, on the Polish side of the border, 1,750 kms. The Oreshnik can strike targets at up to 5,000 kms, making it an “intermediate range”, not an “intercontinental range” missile.
On the afternoon of Wednesday, November 27 [6], President Vladimir Putin arrived in Astana, Kazakhastan, for two days of talks. He is due to return from Kazakhstan on the evening of Thursday, November 28.
Once the president is in Moscow, he will be in position to order, direct, and follow a retaliation strike by the General Staff against US and Ukrainian targets. If the strike flies at Oreshnik speed of Mach 10 to Mach 12, the operation will run from 5 to 9 minutes. If a 30-minute advance warning is sent to the US, and if a civilian evacuation warning is also issued, as Putin has foreshadowed, then one hour on Friday or Saturday will be what Putin has called the “danger zone”.
“In case of an escalation of aggressive actions,” Putin has said, “we will respond decisively and in mirror-like manner…It goes without saying that when choosing, if necessary and as a retaliatory measure, targets to be hit by systems such as Oreshnik on Ukrainian territory, we will in advance suggest that civilians and citizens of friendly countries residing in those areas leave danger zones. We will do so for humanitarian reasons, openly and publicly, without fear of counter-moves coming from the enemy, who will also be receiving this information [7].”
The Defense Ministry has now confirmed the escalation by the US on November 23 and 25. Putin will decide his retaliation before Saturday evening.
PUTIN’S MULTIPLE INDEPENDENTLY TARGETED REENTRY VEHICLES, INTERMEDIATE RANGE, HYPERSONIC, 36 KINETIC WARHEADS
Photographs of the mobile truck-launched Oreshnik have not been released [10] by the Russian authorities. Ted Postol of MIT has produced this analysis, with videoclips of missile launch flight and munition landing, on November 23. Postol confused the launch sites between Baikonur and Kapustin Yar.
TRUMP’S MULTIPLE INDEPENDENTLY TARGETED REENTRY VEHICLES, SHORT RANGE, SUBSONIC, NEGATIVE YIELD
Led by Chris Cook on Gorilla Radio, listen to the discussion of what is about to happen, and of the Trump officials to whom the Kremlin and the General Staff are sending their message [8].
Gorilla Radio with Chris Cook,
Jeremy Kuzmarov, and John Helmer
(November 27, 2024) — The warning issued by Russia’s Deputy UN Representative Dmitry Polyansky, quoted partially in the broadcast, was this [13]: “We believe it is our right to use our weapons against military facilities in those countries which allow their weapons to be used against our facilities. We’ve warned you about this, but you’ve made your choice.” Note that Polyansky’s warning identifies the target of retaliatory action to be “military facilities”.
For the introduction to this broadcast, access to the 20-year Gorilla Radio archive, and Chris Cook’s blog, click here[15] and here [16].
Article printed from Dances With Bears: https://johnhelmer.org
URL to article: https://johnhelmer.org/the-russian-general-staff-prepares-retaliation-friday-night-saturday-morning-gorilla-radio-reviews-the-coming-russian-message-for-the-trump-warfighters/
URLs in this post:
[1] Image: https://johnhelmer.net/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/3098.jpg
[2] @bears_with: https://twitter.com/bears_with
[3] bulletin: https://www.rbc.ru/politics/26/11/2024/6745c72e9a79471df90cdadd?from=from_main_1
[4] November 30: https://news-pravda.com/world/2024/11/26/881608.html
[5] November 21: https://johnhelmer.net/the-ukraine-war-after-the-penny-has-dropped-make-that-the-oreshnik/
[6] November 27: http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/75678
[7] information: http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/75614
[8] message: https://gradio.substack.com/p/gorilla-radio-with-chris-cook-jeremy
[9] Image: https://johnhelmer.net/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/oreshnik-launch.png
[10] released: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h8LvIkGkfes
[11] Image: https://johnhelmer.net/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/mike-waltz.png
[12] Image: https://johnhelmer.net/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/kuzmarov.png
[13] this: https://x.com/RT_com/status/1861825021905346681[14] Image: https://johnhelmer.net/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/polyansky.png
[15] here: https://gradio.substack.com/
[16] here: https://gorillaradioblog.blogspot.com/
